![]() ![]() This series has been played at a sub-90 pace and could be even slower to start on Friday night. Now it’s the Heat’s turn to up the defensive intensity after an admittedly poor showing in Game 3, which should keep the total in the low 100s or high 90s even if the Heat shoot better.īut it’s not that simple, as fatigue tends to play more and more of a factor the deeper a series goes, and Game 4 will take place with a break of just one day in between – meaning just 48 hours have passed since Bam Adebayo played his fifth straight 40-minute game and Jimmy Butler played his fourth 40-plus-minute stint in five games – not to mention, Jamal Murray (44:35) and Nikola Jokic (43:45) barely leaving the floor. The only time the Heat cleared 50 first-half points – 51 in Game 2 – was the only time the first half went over 104 points, and it took some all-time defensive gaffes by the Nuggets. But I’ll bet on the shooting coming back for now.Ĭhris Raybon: The Nuggets finally figured out that they didn’t need to over-help on Jimmy Butler and should stay home on Heat shooters in Game 3, and it led to them holding the Heat under 50 points and 40% shooting in the first half for the second time in three games. If not, Nuggets in 5 is certainly at play. If their shooters return to what has been their post-season form, this should hit. When facing a deficit of at least 12 points this postseason, the Heat are 7-7 following their loss in Game 3, and the rest of the NBA is 6-59 combined. That hasn’t been a consistent trend in the playoffs. See all the double-digit comebacks in this playoff run, like in Game 4 and 5 against the Bucks or Games 1 and 2 against the Boston Celtics.īam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler, though not amazingly efficient, showed up in Game 3 - no one else on the Heat did, and that’s ultimately why they lost. See Game 3 against the Milwaukee Bucks or Game 7 against the Boston Celtics. When they have little to no business winning. There’s a bit more value in the 10+ than Double Double because Murray’s rebounding has seen an uptick but generally, he’d be getting that through the assists.īryan Fonseca: This Miami Heat team of masochists play better when they’re underdogs after losing games. ![]() I’ll take the 7.5 assists and also play 10+ at (+255 DK). Murray’s assists prop has climbed in each game so far and now is at 7.5, but it’s simply not high enough given Murray’s usage. This is a huge advantage Denver has and I expect them to continue using this successful play. The Nuggets are crushing the Heat with the Murray/Jokic pick-and-roll, and Murray is averaging 5.7 assists just to Jokic. ![]() Murray has recorded 10 assists in each game so far on 18 potential assists per game. While he’s an elite scoring threat, his proficiency as a passer has shone through. Joe Dellera: Jamal Murray has been incredible throughout the NBA Finals. NBA Odds & Best Bets Click on a best bet to skip ahead Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks. ![]()
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